Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a high near 101°F in Austin on August 16 under mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Mid-August climatology for the region features peak seasonal heating with average highs of 94–99°F, though recent model runs show persistent southerly flow and subsidence maintaining temperatures in the low 100s without significant moisture or frontal interference that could cap readings. The 28.5% odds on 102–103°F reflect minor upside potential from localized heating or forecast adjustments, while lower bins remain discounted given the absence of cooler air advection or widespread cloudiness in the latest guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 16. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 16. August?
100-101°F 56%
102-103°F 29%
104-105°F 11%
98-99°F 8%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
8%
100-101°F
56%
102-103°F
29%
104-105°F
11%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 56%
102-103°F 29%
104-105°F 11%
98-99°F 8%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
93°F or below
$311 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$194 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$768 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$899 Vol.
8%
100-101°F
$842 Vol.
56%
102-103°F
$980 Vol.
29%
104-105°F
$243 Vol.
11%
106-107°F
$110 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$259 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$1,482 Vol.
<1%
112°F or higher
$288 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a high near 101°F in Austin on August 16 under mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Mid-August climatology for the region features peak seasonal heating with average highs of 94–99°F, though recent model runs show persistent southerly flow and subsidence maintaining temperatures in the low 100s without significant moisture or frontal interference that could cap readings. The 28.5% odds on 102–103°F reflect minor upside potential from localized heating or forecast adjustments, while lower bins remain discounted given the absence of cooler air advection or widespread cloudiness in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Volumen
$6,375Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a high near 101°F in Austin on August 16 under mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Mid-August climatology for the region features peak seasonal heating with average highs of 94–99°F, though recent model runs show persistent southerly flow and subsidence maintaining temperatures in the low 100s without significant moisture or frontal interference that could cap readings. The 28.5% odds on 102–103°F reflect minor upside potential from localized heating or forecast adjustments, while lower bins remain discounted given the absence of cooler air advection or widespread cloudiness in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,375Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a high near 101°F in Austin on August 16 under mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Mid-August climatology for the region features peak seasonal heating with average highs of 94–99°F, though recent model runs show persistent southerly flow and subsidence maintaining temperatures in the low 100s without significant moisture or frontal interference that could cap readings. The 28.5% odds on 102–103°F reflect minor upside potential from localized heating or forecast adjustments, while lower bins remain discounted given the absence of cooler air advection or widespread cloudiness in the latest guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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