Short-range forecasts from agencies including China's Meteorological Administration point to a daily maximum of 34–35°C in Chongqing on August 18, 2026, as the main driver behind the closely matched leading market outcomes. Thundershowers, increased cloud cover, and a northwesterly breeze are expected to suppress peak heating compared with typical mid-August conditions in the subtropical basin, where highs often reach 35–40°C under clearer skies. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on timing and coverage of precipitation, creating the tight split between 34°C and 35°C probabilities while keeping higher outcomes below 10% combined. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 18. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 18. August?
34°C 29%
35°C 27%
36°C 19%
33°C 13%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
31°C or below
5%
32°C
6%
33°C
13%
34°C
29%
35°C
27%
36°C
19%
37°C
6%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 29%
35°C 27%
36°C 19%
33°C 13%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
31°C or below
$61 Vol.
5%
32°C
$46 Vol.
6%
33°C
$69 Vol.
13%
34°C
$83 Vol.
29%
35°C
$66 Vol.
27%
36°C
$49 Vol.
19%
37°C
$63 Vol.
6%
38°C
$162 Vol.
2%
39°C
$5 Vol.
1%
40°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from agencies including China's Meteorological Administration point to a daily maximum of 34–35°C in Chongqing on August 18, 2026, as the main driver behind the closely matched leading market outcomes. Thundershowers, increased cloud cover, and a northwesterly breeze are expected to suppress peak heating compared with typical mid-August conditions in the subtropical basin, where highs often reach 35–40°C under clearer skies. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on timing and coverage of precipitation, creating the tight split between 34°C and 35°C probabilities while keeping higher outcomes below 10% combined. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$760Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from agencies including China's Meteorological Administration point to a daily maximum of 34–35°C in Chongqing on August 18, 2026, as the main driver behind the closely matched leading market outcomes. Thundershowers, increased cloud cover, and a northwesterly breeze are expected to suppress peak heating compared with typical mid-August conditions in the subtropical basin, where highs often reach 35–40°C under clearer skies. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on timing and coverage of precipitation, creating the tight split between 34°C and 35°C probabilities while keeping higher outcomes below 10% combined. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$760Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from agencies including China's Meteorological Administration point to a daily maximum of 34–35°C in Chongqing on August 18, 2026, as the main driver behind the closely matched leading market outcomes. Thundershowers, increased cloud cover, and a northwesterly breeze are expected to suppress peak heating compared with typical mid-August conditions in the subtropical basin, where highs often reach 35–40°C under clearer skies. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on timing and coverage of precipitation, creating the tight split between 34°C and 35°C probabilities while keeping higher outcomes below 10% combined. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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