Forecast models from Brazil’s INMET and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 30–31°C for São Paulo on August 17, supporting the near-even market-implied odds between 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C. A stable subtropical high and light northeasterly flow are limiting daytime heating while suppressing cloud cover, yet slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects create a narrow range of outcomes. Historical August maxima average 28–29°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal conditions. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will determine whether the high edges into the low 30s or remains closer to 29°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 17. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 17. August?
30°C 34%
31°C 31%
29°C 30%
32°C or higher 7%
NEU
NEU
17. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
30%
30°C
34%
31°C
31%
32°C or higher
7%
30°C 34%
31°C 31%
29°C 30%
32°C or higher 7%
NEU
NEU
17. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$1 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$5 Vol.
5%
29°C
$14 Vol.
30%
30°C
$1 Vol.
34%
31°C
$65 Vol.
31%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Brazil’s INMET and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 30–31°C for São Paulo on August 17, supporting the near-even market-implied odds between 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C. A stable subtropical high and light northeasterly flow are limiting daytime heating while suppressing cloud cover, yet slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects create a narrow range of outcomes. Historical August maxima average 28–29°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal conditions. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will determine whether the high edges into the low 30s or remains closer to 29°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Volumen
$96Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Brazil’s INMET and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 30–31°C for São Paulo on August 17, supporting the near-even market-implied odds between 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C. A stable subtropical high and light northeasterly flow are limiting daytime heating while suppressing cloud cover, yet slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects create a narrow range of outcomes. Historical August maxima average 28–29°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal conditions. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will determine whether the high edges into the low 30s or remains closer to 29°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$96Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Brazil’s INMET and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 30–31°C for São Paulo on August 17, supporting the near-even market-implied odds between 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C. A stable subtropical high and light northeasterly flow are limiting daytime heating while suppressing cloud cover, yet slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects create a narrow range of outcomes. Historical August maxima average 28–29°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal conditions. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will determine whether the high edges into the low 30s or remains closer to 29°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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