Recent NOAA and NWS model runs indicate a warm, humid air mass with light southerly flow over the Northeast, suppressing overnight radiative cooling and elevating minimum temperatures for August 17. This setup, amid a broader month leaning above normal per the Climate Prediction Center outlook, drives trader consensus toward 72-73°F as the leading outcome at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 70-71°F. Limited frontal passages and persistent cloud cover further reduce the chance of sharper drops, though any late-model shift in steering patterns could adjust the low. Historical August lows in Central Park average near 65-68°F, underscoring the current anomaly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 17. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 17. August?
72-73°F 43%
70-71°F 19%
74-75°F 13%
78-79°F 8%
NEU
NEU
17. Aug. 2026
61°F oder darunter
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
43%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
8%
80°F oder höher
1%
72-73°F 43%
70-71°F 19%
74-75°F 13%
78-79°F 8%
NEU
NEU
17. Aug. 2026
61°F oder darunter
$5 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$5 Vol.
3%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
5%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
5%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
8%
70-71°F
$45 Vol.
19%
72-73°F
$2 Vol.
43%
74-75°F
$1 Vol.
13%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
8%
80°F oder höher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NOAA and NWS model runs indicate a warm, humid air mass with light southerly flow over the Northeast, suppressing overnight radiative cooling and elevating minimum temperatures for August 17. This setup, amid a broader month leaning above normal per the Climate Prediction Center outlook, drives trader consensus toward 72-73°F as the leading outcome at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 70-71°F. Limited frontal passages and persistent cloud cover further reduce the chance of sharper drops, though any late-model shift in steering patterns could adjust the low. Historical August lows in Central Park average near 65-68°F, underscoring the current anomaly.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volumen
$73Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NOAA and NWS model runs indicate a warm, humid air mass with light southerly flow over the Northeast, suppressing overnight radiative cooling and elevating minimum temperatures for August 17. This setup, amid a broader month leaning above normal per the Climate Prediction Center outlook, drives trader consensus toward 72-73°F as the leading outcome at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 70-71°F. Limited frontal passages and persistent cloud cover further reduce the chance of sharper drops, though any late-model shift in steering patterns could adjust the low. Historical August lows in Central Park average near 65-68°F, underscoring the current anomaly.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$73Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NOAA and NWS model runs indicate a warm, humid air mass with light southerly flow over the Northeast, suppressing overnight radiative cooling and elevating minimum temperatures for August 17. This setup, amid a broader month leaning above normal per the Climate Prediction Center outlook, drives trader consensus toward 72-73°F as the leading outcome at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 70-71°F. Limited frontal passages and persistent cloud cover further reduce the chance of sharper drops, though any late-model shift in steering patterns could adjust the low. Historical August lows in Central Park average near 65-68°F, underscoring the current anomaly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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