Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and European ensemble models indicate a daily maximum near 29°C in Paris on August 17 under partly cloudy skies and light winds, following a cooldown from the mid-August heatwave that peaked at 36–38°C. This consensus, with typical uncertainty of ±1–2°C, has concentrated trader sentiment on the 28–29°C outcomes that together hold over 91% implied probability. Historical late-summer baselines for Paris average highs around 25–27°C, making the current moderation the key factor limiting upside risk above 30°C. Updated model runs and official guidance expected overnight will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 17. August?
29°C 64%
28°C 28%
30°C 7%
27°C 4%
$19,771 Vol.
$19,771 Vol.
24°C oder darunter
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
28%
29°C
64%
30°C
7%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
29°C 64%
28°C 28%
30°C 7%
27°C 4%
$19,771 Vol.
$19,771 Vol.
24°C oder darunter
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
28%
29°C
64%
30°C
7%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and European ensemble models indicate a daily maximum near 29°C in Paris on August 17 under partly cloudy skies and light winds, following a cooldown from the mid-August heatwave that peaked at 36–38°C. This consensus, with typical uncertainty of ±1–2°C, has concentrated trader sentiment on the 28–29°C outcomes that together hold over 91% implied probability. Historical late-summer baselines for Paris average highs around 25–27°C, making the current moderation the key factor limiting upside risk above 30°C. Updated model runs and official guidance expected overnight will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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