Official forecasts from MetService and aligned international models indicate a daytime maximum near 9°C for Wellington on August 17 under southerly winds and scattered showers, with some guidance allowing brief reaches to 10°C. Persistent cool maritime air from the south, typical of mid-winter in the region, limits daytime warming while cloud cover and wind suppress peaks relative to seasonal averages around 12–13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes near-average temperatures as most probable overall, but short-term model consensus favors the lower end of that range. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with implied probabilities concentrated on 9–10°C outcomes ahead of final observational data from Kelburn station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 17. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 17. August?
10°C 54%
9°C 39%
8°C 5%
11°C 4%
NEU
$15,704 Vol.
NEU
$15,704 Vol.
17. Aug. 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
2%
8°C
5%
9°C
39%
10°C
54%
11°C
4%
12°C
2%
13°C
1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 54%
9°C 39%
8°C 5%
11°C 4%
NEU
$15,704 Vol.
NEU
$15,704 Vol.
17. Aug. 2026
4°C or below
$110 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$106 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$994 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$1,810 Vol.
2%
8°C
$2,523 Vol.
5%
9°C
$2,908 Vol.
39%
10°C
$2,845 Vol.
54%
11°C
$1,272 Vol.
4%
12°C
$1,159 Vol.
2%
13°C
$1,669 Vol.
1%
14°C or higher
$309 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and aligned international models indicate a daytime maximum near 9°C for Wellington on August 17 under southerly winds and scattered showers, with some guidance allowing brief reaches to 10°C. Persistent cool maritime air from the south, typical of mid-winter in the region, limits daytime warming while cloud cover and wind suppress peaks relative to seasonal averages around 12–13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes near-average temperatures as most probable overall, but short-term model consensus favors the lower end of that range. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with implied probabilities concentrated on 9–10°C outcomes ahead of final observational data from Kelburn station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Volumen
$15,704Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and aligned international models indicate a daytime maximum near 9°C for Wellington on August 17 under southerly winds and scattered showers, with some guidance allowing brief reaches to 10°C. Persistent cool maritime air from the south, typical of mid-winter in the region, limits daytime warming while cloud cover and wind suppress peaks relative to seasonal averages around 12–13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes near-average temperatures as most probable overall, but short-term model consensus favors the lower end of that range. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with implied probabilities concentrated on 9–10°C outcomes ahead of final observational data from Kelburn station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$15,704Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from MetService and aligned international models indicate a daytime maximum near 9°C for Wellington on August 17 under southerly winds and scattered showers, with some guidance allowing brief reaches to 10°C. Persistent cool maritime air from the south, typical of mid-winter in the region, limits daytime warming while cloud cover and wind suppress peaks relative to seasonal averages around 12–13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes near-average temperatures as most probable overall, but short-term model consensus favors the lower end of that range. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with implied probabilities concentrated on 9–10°C outcomes ahead of final observational data from Kelburn station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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