Recent model guidance from MetService, NIWA, and international sources shows Wellington’s daytime maximum on August 19 most likely settling near 10–12 °C under a mix of southerly flow and residual cool air from recent polar outbreaks. These conditions align with typical mid-winter climatology (August average high ~13 °C) while reflecting the current steering pattern that limits significant warming. Ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around 11 °C, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting there, with 12 °C and 10 °C as secondary possibilities if cloud cover or wind shifts alter the outcome. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow uncertainty band consistent with short-range NWP consensus rather than broader seasonal averages.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 19. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 19. August?
11°C 56%
12°C 27%
10°C 16%
9°C 3%
NEU
NEU
19. Aug. 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
16%
11°C
56%
12°C
27%
13°C
3%
14°C
2%
15°C or higher
1%
11°C 56%
12°C 27%
10°C 16%
9°C 3%
NEU
NEU
19. Aug. 2026
5°C or below
$196 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$76 Vol.
1%
8°C
$5 Vol.
2%
9°C
$101 Vol.
3%
10°C
$361 Vol.
16%
11°C
$1,322 Vol.
56%
12°C
$393 Vol.
27%
13°C
$107 Vol.
3%
14°C
$5 Vol.
2%
15°C or higher
$41 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from MetService, NIWA, and international sources shows Wellington’s daytime maximum on August 19 most likely settling near 10–12 °C under a mix of southerly flow and residual cool air from recent polar outbreaks. These conditions align with typical mid-winter climatology (August average high ~13 °C) while reflecting the current steering pattern that limits significant warming. Ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around 11 °C, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting there, with 12 °C and 10 °C as secondary possibilities if cloud cover or wind shifts alter the outcome. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow uncertainty band consistent with short-range NWP consensus rather than broader seasonal averages.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,764Enddatum
19. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from MetService, NIWA, and international sources shows Wellington’s daytime maximum on August 19 most likely settling near 10–12 °C under a mix of southerly flow and residual cool air from recent polar outbreaks. These conditions align with typical mid-winter climatology (August average high ~13 °C) while reflecting the current steering pattern that limits significant warming. Ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around 11 °C, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting there, with 12 °C and 10 °C as secondary possibilities if cloud cover or wind shifts alter the outcome. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow uncertainty band consistent with short-range NWP consensus rather than broader seasonal averages.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,764Enddatum
19. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance from MetService, NIWA, and international sources shows Wellington’s daytime maximum on August 19 most likely settling near 10–12 °C under a mix of southerly flow and residual cool air from recent polar outbreaks. These conditions align with typical mid-winter climatology (August average high ~13 °C) while reflecting the current steering pattern that limits significant warming. Ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around 11 °C, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting there, with 12 °C and 10 °C as secondary possibilities if cloud cover or wind shifts alter the outcome. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow uncertainty band consistent with short-range NWP consensus rather than broader seasonal averages.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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