Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a highest temperature near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those brackets. Persistent moisture from the East China Sea, combined with expected cloud cover and scattered thundershowers, is suppressing peak heating below the mid-August climatological average of ~30.8°C. Recent observations, including a 29°C high on August 11 under similar Pacific influence, reinforce trader expectations of modest daily maxima. These conditions reflect typical late-summer monsoon dynamics where humidity and precipitation limit diurnal temperature rise despite seasonal warmth. Updated model runs ahead of the 24-hour window could refine the exact outcome if clearer skies emerge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 17. August?
31°C 46%
30°C 27%
32°C 18%
29°C 6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
27%
31°C
46%
32°C
18%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 46%
30°C 27%
32°C 18%
29°C 6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
27%
31°C
46%
32°C
18%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a highest temperature near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those brackets. Persistent moisture from the East China Sea, combined with expected cloud cover and scattered thundershowers, is suppressing peak heating below the mid-August climatological average of ~30.8°C. Recent observations, including a 29°C high on August 11 under similar Pacific influence, reinforce trader expectations of modest daily maxima. These conditions reflect typical late-summer monsoon dynamics where humidity and precipitation limit diurnal temperature rise despite seasonal warmth. Updated model runs ahead of the 24-hour window could refine the exact outcome if clearer skies emerge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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