Recent ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological agencies highlight persistent subtropical high pressure and weak steering flows over the Sichuan Basin as the main drivers positioning 33°C as the market favorite for Chongqing’s August 21 maximum, with 34°C and 32°C close behind. These conditions typically limit overnight radiative cooling amid high humidity while allowing daytime sensible heating to reach the low-to-mid 30s, consistent with late-August climatology of 33–35°C highs and recent model runs showing modest cloud cover moderating extremes. Traders appear to discount stronger heat waves or significant rainfall cooling given the current guidance, though updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns or moisture advection change.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 21. August?
33°C 35%
34°C 22%
32°C 18%
35°C 12%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
7%
32°C
18%
33°C
35%
34°C
22%
35°C
12%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 35%
34°C 22%
32°C 18%
35°C 12%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
7%
32°C
18%
33°C
35%
34°C
22%
35°C
12%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological agencies highlight persistent subtropical high pressure and weak steering flows over the Sichuan Basin as the main drivers positioning 33°C as the market favorite for Chongqing’s August 21 maximum, with 34°C and 32°C close behind. These conditions typically limit overnight radiative cooling amid high humidity while allowing daytime sensible heating to reach the low-to-mid 30s, consistent with late-August climatology of 33–35°C highs and recent model runs showing modest cloud cover moderating extremes. Traders appear to discount stronger heat waves or significant rainfall cooling given the current guidance, though updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns or moisture advection change.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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