Expected heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from monsoon-driven convection represent the main driver moderating Shenzhen’s maximum temperatures on August 21, keeping market-implied odds clustered around 30–32 °C. In this subtropical coastal setting, high atmospheric moisture fuels frequent thunderstorms that reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, limiting afternoon peaks despite seasonal warmth. Recent model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and the UK Met Office points to daytime highs near 30–31 °C, with uncertainty arising from the precise timing and intensity of showers. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical August averages near 32 °C, anticipating further CMA or global model updates before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 21. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 21. August?
31°C 24%
30°C 23%
35°C or higher 16%
32°C 16%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
12%
30°C
23%
31°C
24%
32°C
16%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
16%
31°C 24%
30°C 23%
35°C or higher 16%
32°C 16%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
$107 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$35 Vol.
4%
27°C
$99 Vol.
3%
28°C
$41 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C
$26 Vol.
23%
31°C
$17 Vol.
24%
32°C
$44 Vol.
16%
33°C
$94 Vol.
9%
34°C
$52 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$47 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Expected heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from monsoon-driven convection represent the main driver moderating Shenzhen’s maximum temperatures on August 21, keeping market-implied odds clustered around 30–32 °C. In this subtropical coastal setting, high atmospheric moisture fuels frequent thunderstorms that reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, limiting afternoon peaks despite seasonal warmth. Recent model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and the UK Met Office points to daytime highs near 30–31 °C, with uncertainty arising from the precise timing and intensity of showers. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical August averages near 32 °C, anticipating further CMA or global model updates before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$561Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Expected heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from monsoon-driven convection represent the main driver moderating Shenzhen’s maximum temperatures on August 21, keeping market-implied odds clustered around 30–32 °C. In this subtropical coastal setting, high atmospheric moisture fuels frequent thunderstorms that reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, limiting afternoon peaks despite seasonal warmth. Recent model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and the UK Met Office points to daytime highs near 30–31 °C, with uncertainty arising from the precise timing and intensity of showers. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical August averages near 32 °C, anticipating further CMA or global model updates before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$561Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Expected heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from monsoon-driven convection represent the main driver moderating Shenzhen’s maximum temperatures on August 21, keeping market-implied odds clustered around 30–32 °C. In this subtropical coastal setting, high atmospheric moisture fuels frequent thunderstorms that reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, limiting afternoon peaks despite seasonal warmth. Recent model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and the UK Met Office points to daytime highs near 30–31 °C, with uncertainty arising from the precise timing and intensity of showers. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical August averages near 32 °C, anticipating further CMA or global model updates before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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