National Weather Service guidance centers the August 23 high near 82°F in New York City under mostly cloudy skies and a chance of afternoon thunderstorms, anchoring trader focus on the tightly matched 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins. Model consensus points to temperatures close to or slightly below the long-term Central Park August average of 83°F, with recent cooler, more humid conditions and variable cloud cover limiting stronger heating. This setup favors outcomes in the low 80s while leaving room for modest downward revisions if thicker cloud decks or showers develop, consistent with the current 77.5% combined probability on the top two bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 23. August?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 23. August?
82-83°F 48%
80-81°F 31%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 8%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
48%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 48%
80-81°F 31%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 8%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
73°F or below
$259 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$177 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,125 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$442 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$1,032 Vol.
31%
82-83°F
$933 Vol.
48%
84-85°F
$1,121 Vol.
14%
86-87°F
$244 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$125 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$135 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$248 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance centers the August 23 high near 82°F in New York City under mostly cloudy skies and a chance of afternoon thunderstorms, anchoring trader focus on the tightly matched 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins. Model consensus points to temperatures close to or slightly below the long-term Central Park August average of 83°F, with recent cooler, more humid conditions and variable cloud cover limiting stronger heating. This setup favors outcomes in the low 80s while leaving room for modest downward revisions if thicker cloud decks or showers develop, consistent with the current 77.5% combined probability on the top two bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volumen
$5,839Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance centers the August 23 high near 82°F in New York City under mostly cloudy skies and a chance of afternoon thunderstorms, anchoring trader focus on the tightly matched 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins. Model consensus points to temperatures close to or slightly below the long-term Central Park August average of 83°F, with recent cooler, more humid conditions and variable cloud cover limiting stronger heating. This setup favors outcomes in the low 80s while leaving room for modest downward revisions if thicker cloud decks or showers develop, consistent with the current 77.5% combined probability on the top two bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,839Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance centers the August 23 high near 82°F in New York City under mostly cloudy skies and a chance of afternoon thunderstorms, anchoring trader focus on the tightly matched 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins. Model consensus points to temperatures close to or slightly below the long-term Central Park August average of 83°F, with recent cooler, more humid conditions and variable cloud cover limiting stronger heating. This setup favors outcomes in the low 80s while leaving room for modest downward revisions if thicker cloud decks or showers develop, consistent with the current 77.5% combined probability on the top two bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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