Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 22°C for London on August 22, aligning with the market's leading 35.5% implied probability, while nearby 21°C (26.5%) and 23°C (22%) outcomes reflect model spread in ensemble runs. A transition from earlier August high-pressure warmth to more Atlantic-influenced flow has introduced cooler air masses and variable cloud cover, tempering daytime peaks near the seasonal 22°C average. Key differentiating factors include steering patterns of frontal systems, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at official stations, with slight disagreements among ECMWF and UKMO guidance on exact timing of any clearing. Updated short-range model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten consensus ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 22. August?
Höchste Temperatur in London am 22. August?
22°C 36%
21°C 27%
23°C 22%
24°C 8%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
27%
22°C
36%
23°C
22%
24°C
8%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 36%
21°C 27%
23°C 22%
24°C 8%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
18°C or below
$90 Vol.
1%
19°C
$35 Vol.
2%
20°C
$52 Vol.
8%
21°C
$442 Vol.
27%
22°C
$540 Vol.
36%
23°C
$343 Vol.
22%
24°C
$199 Vol.
8%
25°C
$374 Vol.
2%
26°C
$768 Vol.
1%
27°C
$2,082 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,767 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 22°C for London on August 22, aligning with the market's leading 35.5% implied probability, while nearby 21°C (26.5%) and 23°C (22%) outcomes reflect model spread in ensemble runs. A transition from earlier August high-pressure warmth to more Atlantic-influenced flow has introduced cooler air masses and variable cloud cover, tempering daytime peaks near the seasonal 22°C average. Key differentiating factors include steering patterns of frontal systems, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at official stations, with slight disagreements among ECMWF and UKMO guidance on exact timing of any clearing. Updated short-range model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$6,511Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 22°C for London on August 22, aligning with the market's leading 35.5% implied probability, while nearby 21°C (26.5%) and 23°C (22%) outcomes reflect model spread in ensemble runs. A transition from earlier August high-pressure warmth to more Atlantic-influenced flow has introduced cooler air masses and variable cloud cover, tempering daytime peaks near the seasonal 22°C average. Key differentiating factors include steering patterns of frontal systems, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at official stations, with slight disagreements among ECMWF and UKMO guidance on exact timing of any clearing. Updated short-range model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,511Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 22°C for London on August 22, aligning with the market's leading 35.5% implied probability, while nearby 21°C (26.5%) and 23°C (22%) outcomes reflect model spread in ensemble runs. A transition from earlier August high-pressure warmth to more Atlantic-influenced flow has introduced cooler air masses and variable cloud cover, tempering daytime peaks near the seasonal 22°C average. Key differentiating factors include steering patterns of frontal systems, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at official stations, with slight disagreements among ECMWF and UKMO guidance on exact timing of any clearing. Updated short-range model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten consensus ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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