**Northerly winds and clear or partly cloudy skies under building high pressure are the main drivers positioning 11–13°C as the most probable minimum temperatures for London on August 22.** These conditions promote strong nighttime radiative cooling, with recent Met Office and BBC guidance indicating a low near 11°C and highs around 21–22°C under light northerly flow. Forecasts show the UK shifting to more settled weather after earlier warmth, placing late-August temperatures slightly below seasonal averages while remaining above typical early-autumn values. Historical August overnight lows average near 13°C, so the current setup favors modest cooling without extreme drops. Model consensus points to minimal cloud cover and light winds overnight, limiting mixing and allowing surface temperatures to fall into the low teens Celsius. Trader consensus around 12°C (41.5%) and 13°C (28%) reflects this stable, cool-but-not-cold pattern, with only limited downside risk from any stray showers or wind shifts. Updated official guidance closer to the date will refine the exact minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 22. August?
12°C 42%
13°C 28%
11°C 16%
10°C 11%
9°C oder weniger
4%
10°C
11%
11°C
16%
12°C
42%
13°C
28%
14°C
10%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C oder höher
<1%
12°C 42%
13°C 28%
11°C 16%
10°C 11%
9°C oder weniger
4%
10°C
11%
11°C
16%
12°C
42%
13°C
28%
14°C
10%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Northerly winds and clear or partly cloudy skies under building high pressure are the main drivers positioning 11–13°C as the most probable minimum temperatures for London on August 22.** These conditions promote strong nighttime radiative cooling, with recent Met Office and BBC guidance indicating a low near 11°C and highs around 21–22°C under light northerly flow. Forecasts show the UK shifting to more settled weather after earlier warmth, placing late-August temperatures slightly below seasonal averages while remaining above typical early-autumn values. Historical August overnight lows average near 13°C, so the current setup favors modest cooling without extreme drops. Model consensus points to minimal cloud cover and light winds overnight, limiting mixing and allowing surface temperatures to fall into the low teens Celsius. Trader consensus around 12°C (41.5%) and 13°C (28%) reflects this stable, cool-but-not-cold pattern, with only limited downside risk from any stray showers or wind shifts. Updated official guidance closer to the date will refine the exact minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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