Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 22–23 °C for Munich on August 23, driven by moderating westerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating compared with earlier in the month. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 22 °C (41.5 %) over 23 °C (36.0 %), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consistency and typical late-August cooling trends. Key variables include surface pressure gradients and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on model resolution and timing of any frontal passage. Updated runs from NOAA and European centers, plus official DWD observations on the day, will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 23. August?
22°C 42%
23°C 36%
21°C 11%
24°C 11%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
11%
22°C
42%
23°C
36%
24°C
11%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 42%
23°C 36%
21°C 11%
24°C 11%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
11%
22°C
42%
23°C
36%
24°C
11%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 22–23 °C for Munich on August 23, driven by moderating westerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating compared with earlier in the month. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 22 °C (41.5 %) over 23 °C (36.0 %), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consistency and typical late-August cooling trends. Key variables include surface pressure gradients and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on model resolution and timing of any frontal passage. Updated runs from NOAA and European centers, plus official DWD observations on the day, will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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