Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for August 24, 2026, places New York City’s daytime maximum in the upper 70s to low 80s°F, driving the 47% market-implied probability for an 80–81°F high. A weak surface high and northwesterly flow are expected to limit moisture and allow modest warming after any overnight cloud cover, while slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of clearing keeps the adjacent 78–79°F and 82–83°F bins at 29.5% and 11.5%. Late-August climatology supports these ranges, with normal highs near 82°F, yet the short-range forecast horizon means new 00Z model runs and morning soundings could still shift the exact peak by a degree or two before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 24. August?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 24. August?
80-81°F 37%
78-79°F 32%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 5%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
2%
80-81°F 37%
78-79°F 32%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 5%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
67°F or below
$69 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$69 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$69 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$90 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$201 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$230 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$539 Vol.
32%
80-81°F
$1,844 Vol.
37%
82-83°F
$425 Vol.
16%
84-85°F
$90 Vol.
3%
86°F or higher
$102 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for August 24, 2026, places New York City’s daytime maximum in the upper 70s to low 80s°F, driving the 47% market-implied probability for an 80–81°F high. A weak surface high and northwesterly flow are expected to limit moisture and allow modest warming after any overnight cloud cover, while slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of clearing keeps the adjacent 78–79°F and 82–83°F bins at 29.5% and 11.5%. Late-August climatology supports these ranges, with normal highs near 82°F, yet the short-range forecast horizon means new 00Z model runs and morning soundings could still shift the exact peak by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$3,651Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for August 24, 2026, places New York City’s daytime maximum in the upper 70s to low 80s°F, driving the 47% market-implied probability for an 80–81°F high. A weak surface high and northwesterly flow are expected to limit moisture and allow modest warming after any overnight cloud cover, while slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of clearing keeps the adjacent 78–79°F and 82–83°F bins at 29.5% and 11.5%. Late-August climatology supports these ranges, with normal highs near 82°F, yet the short-range forecast horizon means new 00Z model runs and morning soundings could still shift the exact peak by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,651Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for August 24, 2026, places New York City’s daytime maximum in the upper 70s to low 80s°F, driving the 47% market-implied probability for an 80–81°F high. A weak surface high and northwesterly flow are expected to limit moisture and allow modest warming after any overnight cloud cover, while slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of clearing keeps the adjacent 78–79°F and 82–83°F bins at 29.5% and 11.5%. Late-August climatology supports these ranges, with normal highs near 82°F, yet the short-range forecast horizon means new 00Z model runs and morning soundings could still shift the exact peak by a degree or two before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen