**Recent high-pressure dominance over central Europe has driven mostly clear skies and gradual warming into Warsaw, positioning trader consensus around 23–24°C as the most likely peak on August 27.** Official guidance from IMGW and ensemble forecasts highlight a stable anticyclone advecting milder air masses from the southeast, with light easterly winds (typically 5–15 km/h) limiting mixing while allowing daytime radiative heating. Model outputs cluster daytime maxima between 23–26°C, with 24°C emerging as the mode due to consistent afternoon readings near 23–25°C under minimal cloud cover. Slight downward revisions in some runs reflect minor increases in high cloud or boundary-layer moisture, keeping 25°C and above at lower implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of peak insolation and any last-minute adjustments in steering flow before the approaching frontal system arrives Friday.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 27. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 27. August?
24°C 41%
25°C 37%
23°C 33%
22°C 24%
NEU
NEU
27. Aug. 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
12%
22°C
24%
23°C
33%
24°C
41%
25°C
37%
26°C
7%
27°C
6%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 41%
25°C 37%
23°C 33%
22°C 24%
NEU
NEU
27. Aug. 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
12%
22°C
$0 Vol.
24%
23°C
$0 Vol.
33%
24°C
$0 Vol.
41%
25°C
$0 Vol.
37%
26°C
$11 Vol.
7%
27°C
$0 Vol.
6%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent high-pressure dominance over central Europe has driven mostly clear skies and gradual warming into Warsaw, positioning trader consensus around 23–24°C as the most likely peak on August 27.** Official guidance from IMGW and ensemble forecasts highlight a stable anticyclone advecting milder air masses from the southeast, with light easterly winds (typically 5–15 km/h) limiting mixing while allowing daytime radiative heating. Model outputs cluster daytime maxima between 23–26°C, with 24°C emerging as the mode due to consistent afternoon readings near 23–25°C under minimal cloud cover. Slight downward revisions in some runs reflect minor increases in high cloud or boundary-layer moisture, keeping 25°C and above at lower implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of peak insolation and any last-minute adjustments in steering flow before the approaching frontal system arrives Friday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$11Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent high-pressure dominance over central Europe has driven mostly clear skies and gradual warming into Warsaw, positioning trader consensus around 23–24°C as the most likely peak on August 27.** Official guidance from IMGW and ensemble forecasts highlight a stable anticyclone advecting milder air masses from the southeast, with light easterly winds (typically 5–15 km/h) limiting mixing while allowing daytime radiative heating. Model outputs cluster daytime maxima between 23–26°C, with 24°C emerging as the mode due to consistent afternoon readings near 23–25°C under minimal cloud cover. Slight downward revisions in some runs reflect minor increases in high cloud or boundary-layer moisture, keeping 25°C and above at lower implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of peak insolation and any last-minute adjustments in steering flow before the approaching frontal system arrives Friday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent high-pressure dominance over central Europe has driven mostly clear skies and gradual warming into Warsaw, positioning trader consensus around 23–24°C as the most likely peak on August 27.** Official guidance from IMGW and ensemble forecasts highlight a stable anticyclone advecting milder air masses from the southeast, with light easterly winds (typically 5–15 km/h) limiting mixing while allowing daytime radiative heating. Model outputs cluster daytime maxima between 23–26°C, with 24°C emerging as the mode due to consistent afternoon readings near 23–25°C under minimal cloud cover. Slight downward revisions in some runs reflect minor increases in high cloud or boundary-layer moisture, keeping 25°C and above at lower implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of peak insolation and any last-minute adjustments in steering flow before the approaching frontal system arrives Friday.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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