Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles points to a highest temperature of 19–20°C in Helsinki on August 29, driven by persistent southerly flow under high pressure that moderates maritime air without strong advection of warmer continental air masses. This aligns with late-August climatological normals near 18°C and current observations showing stable conditions with light winds and limited diurnal heating. Traders’ implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, with lower odds on 21°C+ outcomes tied to potential model shifts from incoming frontal systems. New runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Weather Service equivalents over the next 24–48 hours will refine uncertainty around any intensification of southeasterly winds or cloud cover that could cap or elevate the daily maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Helsinki am 29. August?
20°C 40%
19°C 28%
21°C 19%
23°C 5%
14°C oder darunter
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
28%
20°C
40%
21°C
19%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C oder höher
1%
20°C 40%
19°C 28%
21°C 19%
23°C 5%
14°C oder darunter
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
28%
20°C
40%
21°C
19%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles points to a highest temperature of 19–20°C in Helsinki on August 29, driven by persistent southerly flow under high pressure that moderates maritime air without strong advection of warmer continental air masses. This aligns with late-August climatological normals near 18°C and current observations showing stable conditions with light winds and limited diurnal heating. Traders’ implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, with lower odds on 21°C+ outcomes tied to potential model shifts from incoming frontal systems. New runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Weather Service equivalents over the next 24–48 hours will refine uncertainty around any intensification of southeasterly winds or cloud cover that could cap or elevate the daily maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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