Forecasts for Tokyo on August 27 indicate increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that will reduce solar heating and cap the daily high near 30–32°C. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency projects a 31°C maximum, while multiple models highlight 70%+ precipitation chances and northeasterly flow limiting afternoon warming relative to the clearer 33–35°C days immediately prior. This narrow temperature band around 30–32°C underpins the closely matched market-implied odds, with 31°C edging ahead as the most probable outcome given consistent ensemble guidance and historical analogs for late-August instability. Traders will monitor any last-minute forecast shifts in convective timing or coverage before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 27. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 27. August?
31°C 29%
30°C 24%
32°C 19%
29°C 11%
NEU
NEU
27. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
24%
31°C
29%
32°C
19%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 29%
30°C 24%
32°C 19%
29°C 11%
NEU
NEU
27. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
$270 Vol.
1%
28°C
$325 Vol.
3%
29°C
$1,321 Vol.
11%
30°C
$1,478 Vol.
24%
31°C
$397 Vol.
29%
32°C
$1,109 Vol.
19%
33°C
$754 Vol.
8%
34°C
$1,133 Vol.
3%
35°C
$258 Vol.
3%
36°C
$1,149 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$423 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Tokyo on August 27 indicate increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that will reduce solar heating and cap the daily high near 30–32°C. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency projects a 31°C maximum, while multiple models highlight 70%+ precipitation chances and northeasterly flow limiting afternoon warming relative to the clearer 33–35°C days immediately prior. This narrow temperature band around 30–32°C underpins the closely matched market-implied odds, with 31°C edging ahead as the most probable outcome given consistent ensemble guidance and historical analogs for late-August instability. Traders will monitor any last-minute forecast shifts in convective timing or coverage before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$8,618Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Tokyo on August 27 indicate increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that will reduce solar heating and cap the daily high near 30–32°C. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency projects a 31°C maximum, while multiple models highlight 70%+ precipitation chances and northeasterly flow limiting afternoon warming relative to the clearer 33–35°C days immediately prior. This narrow temperature band around 30–32°C underpins the closely matched market-implied odds, with 31°C edging ahead as the most probable outcome given consistent ensemble guidance and historical analogs for late-August instability. Traders will monitor any last-minute forecast shifts in convective timing or coverage before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,618Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for Tokyo on August 27 indicate increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that will reduce solar heating and cap the daily high near 30–32°C. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency projects a 31°C maximum, while multiple models highlight 70%+ precipitation chances and northeasterly flow limiting afternoon warming relative to the clearer 33–35°C days immediately prior. This narrow temperature band around 30–32°C underpins the closely matched market-implied odds, with 31°C edging ahead as the most probable outcome given consistent ensemble guidance and historical analogs for late-August instability. Traders will monitor any last-minute forecast shifts in convective timing or coverage before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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