Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a low near 26°C for Tokyo on August 27 amid increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and a frontal boundary moderating overnight cooling after a hot, mostly clear August 26. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with limited radiative cooling under humid, overcast conditions and light winds limiting extremes. Recent shifts from subtropical high pressure have introduced greater moisture and precipitation chances, aligning trader consensus around 26–27°C outcomes while lower probabilities for 25°C or 28°C reflect forecast spread in timing and intensity of rain. New JMA updates and model runs will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 27. August?
27°C 36%
26°C 31%
25°C 13%
28°C 3%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
13%
26°C
31%
27°C
36%
28°C
12%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 36%
26°C 31%
25°C 13%
28°C 3%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
13%
26°C
31%
27°C
36%
28°C
12%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a low near 26°C for Tokyo on August 27 amid increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and a frontal boundary moderating overnight cooling after a hot, mostly clear August 26. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with limited radiative cooling under humid, overcast conditions and light winds limiting extremes. Recent shifts from subtropical high pressure have introduced greater moisture and precipitation chances, aligning trader consensus around 26–27°C outcomes while lower probabilities for 25°C or 28°C reflect forecast spread in timing and intensity of rain. New JMA updates and model runs will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen