Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and its seasonal outlook for above-normal late-August temperatures across the Kanto region have anchored trader consensus near 27–28°C for Tokyo’s August 26 minimum. Persistent high pressure from an expanded Pacific High suppresses overnight radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and elevated humidity keep lows elevated relative to the 24–26°C climatological baseline. Model runs show limited wind or cloud cover that could otherwise enhance cooling, creating tight clustering between the leading 27°C and 28°C outcomes. Minor divergences in ensemble guidance on timing of any scattered showers or boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split, with resolution hinging on the official Otemachi station reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 26. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 26. August?
28°C 43%
27°C 42%
29°C 21%
24°C 18%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
13%
23°C
14%
24°C
18%
25°C
9%
26°C
13%
27°C
42%
28°C
43%
29°C
21%
30°C
18%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
14%
28°C 43%
27°C 42%
29°C 21%
24°C 18%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
13%
23°C
$5 Vol.
14%
24°C
$5 Vol.
18%
25°C
$0 Vol.
9%
26°C
$0 Vol.
13%
27°C
$0 Vol.
42%
28°C
$0 Vol.
43%
29°C
$5 Vol.
21%
30°C
$5 Vol.
18%
31°C
$5 Vol.
8%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and its seasonal outlook for above-normal late-August temperatures across the Kanto region have anchored trader consensus near 27–28°C for Tokyo’s August 26 minimum. Persistent high pressure from an expanded Pacific High suppresses overnight radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and elevated humidity keep lows elevated relative to the 24–26°C climatological baseline. Model runs show limited wind or cloud cover that could otherwise enhance cooling, creating tight clustering between the leading 27°C and 28°C outcomes. Minor divergences in ensemble guidance on timing of any scattered showers or boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split, with resolution hinging on the official Otemachi station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$25Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and its seasonal outlook for above-normal late-August temperatures across the Kanto region have anchored trader consensus near 27–28°C for Tokyo’s August 26 minimum. Persistent high pressure from an expanded Pacific High suppresses overnight radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and elevated humidity keep lows elevated relative to the 24–26°C climatological baseline. Model runs show limited wind or cloud cover that could otherwise enhance cooling, creating tight clustering between the leading 27°C and 28°C outcomes. Minor divergences in ensemble guidance on timing of any scattered showers or boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split, with resolution hinging on the official Otemachi station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and its seasonal outlook for above-normal late-August temperatures across the Kanto region have anchored trader consensus near 27–28°C for Tokyo’s August 26 minimum. Persistent high pressure from an expanded Pacific High suppresses overnight radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and elevated humidity keep lows elevated relative to the 24–26°C climatological baseline. Model runs show limited wind or cloud cover that could otherwise enhance cooling, creating tight clustering between the leading 27°C and 28°C outcomes. Minor divergences in ensemble guidance on timing of any scattered showers or boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split, with resolution hinging on the official Otemachi station reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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