Recent short-range model runs from ECMWF and GFS show a northeasterly flow bringing partly cloudy skies and a modest risk of light showers to Paris on August 24, limiting daytime heating and supporting trader consensus around 25–27 °C. With the market resolution only 48 hours away, the tight spread among leading outcomes reflects remaining uncertainty in exact peak timing and cloud breaks rather than broad disagreement on the synoptic pattern. Historical August averages near 24.6 °C provide context, while official updates from Météo-France and the next model cycles will likely narrow the range before final settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 24. August?
26°C 31%
27°C 25%
25°C 20%
28°C 10%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
20%
26°C
31%
27°C
25%
28°C
10%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 31%
27°C 25%
25°C 20%
28°C 10%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
20%
26°C
31%
27°C
25%
28°C
10%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model runs from ECMWF and GFS show a northeasterly flow bringing partly cloudy skies and a modest risk of light showers to Paris on August 24, limiting daytime heating and supporting trader consensus around 25–27 °C. With the market resolution only 48 hours away, the tight spread among leading outcomes reflects remaining uncertainty in exact peak timing and cloud breaks rather than broad disagreement on the synoptic pattern. Historical August averages near 24.6 °C provide context, while official updates from Météo-France and the next model cycles will likely narrow the range before final settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen