Forecast consensus from European models points to a highest temperature of 24–25°C in Amsterdam on August 26, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those bins. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic trough is advecting warmer air, yet increasing cloud cover and scattered thundery showers—per Met Office and BBC guidance—will likely cap daytime peaks and introduce 1–2°C uncertainty depending on timing and coverage. This setup sits near seasonal norms for late August, with limited model spread so far supporting the 33% and 24.5% implied probabilities on 25°C and 24°C. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 26. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 26. August?
25°C 34%
23°C 16%
26°C 14%
24°C 13%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
16%
24°C
25%
25°C
34%
26°C
14%
27°C
7%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 34%
23°C 16%
26°C 14%
24°C 13%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
20°C or below
$25 Vol.
2%
21°C
$5 Vol.
4%
22°C
$30 Vol.
6%
23°C
$101 Vol.
16%
24°C
$190 Vol.
25%
25°C
$41 Vol.
34%
26°C
$205 Vol.
14%
27°C
$20 Vol.
7%
28°C
$5 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from European models points to a highest temperature of 24–25°C in Amsterdam on August 26, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those bins. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic trough is advecting warmer air, yet increasing cloud cover and scattered thundery showers—per Met Office and BBC guidance—will likely cap daytime peaks and introduce 1–2°C uncertainty depending on timing and coverage. This setup sits near seasonal norms for late August, with limited model spread so far supporting the 33% and 24.5% implied probabilities on 25°C and 24°C. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$622Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from European models points to a highest temperature of 24–25°C in Amsterdam on August 26, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those bins. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic trough is advecting warmer air, yet increasing cloud cover and scattered thundery showers—per Met Office and BBC guidance—will likely cap daytime peaks and introduce 1–2°C uncertainty depending on timing and coverage. This setup sits near seasonal norms for late August, with limited model spread so far supporting the 33% and 24.5% implied probabilities on 25°C and 24°C. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$622Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from European models points to a highest temperature of 24–25°C in Amsterdam on August 26, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those bins. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic trough is advecting warmer air, yet increasing cloud cover and scattered thundery showers—per Met Office and BBC guidance—will likely cap daytime peaks and introduce 1–2°C uncertainty depending on timing and coverage. This setup sits near seasonal norms for late August, with limited model spread so far supporting the 33% and 24.5% implied probabilities on 25°C and 24°C. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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