Trader consensus for Helsinki's August 29 minimum temperature reflects notable forecast uncertainty, with probabilities clustered around 11–14°C (each near 26–27%) as ensemble models from ECMWF and the Finnish Meteorological Institute show spread in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. The Baltic Sea's moderating influence keeps extremes unlikely, capping the chance of 10°C or below at just 6%, while a potential high-pressure ridge could allow clearer skies and lower readings near the median outcomes. Recent model runs highlight variable steering winds and moisture advection as key variables that could shift the minimum by several degrees before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Helsinki am 29. August?
20°C or higher 60%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
11°C 27%
10°C or below
6%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
8%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
60%
20°C or higher 60%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
11°C 27%
10°C or below
6%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
8%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for Helsinki's August 29 minimum temperature reflects notable forecast uncertainty, with probabilities clustered around 11–14°C (each near 26–27%) as ensemble models from ECMWF and the Finnish Meteorological Institute show spread in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. The Baltic Sea's moderating influence keeps extremes unlikely, capping the chance of 10°C or below at just 6%, while a potential high-pressure ridge could allow clearer skies and lower readings near the median outcomes. Recent model runs highlight variable steering winds and moisture advection as key variables that could shift the minimum by several degrees before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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