**Forecast consensus from Argentine Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models points to a daytime maximum near 17–18°C on August 27 under a southeasterly flow behind a cold front.** This system, associated with the seasonal Santa Rosa pattern, brings increased cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms (40–70% probability), and moderate winds that limit surface heating. Typical late-August climatology for Buenos Aires shows highs of 15–17°C; the current setup features suppressed insolation from stratiform clouds and onshore maritime air, keeping the peak temperature range narrow. Model runs exhibit modest spread around these values, with slight upside risk if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Market-implied odds centered on 18–19°C reflect traders’ weighting of this forecast uncertainty and resolution criteria tied to official observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 27. August?
19°C 36%
18°C 30%
20°C 19%
17°C 11%
14°C or below
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
11%
18°C
30%
19°C
36%
20°C
19%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
2%
19°C 36%
18°C 30%
20°C 19%
17°C 11%
14°C or below
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
11%
18°C
30%
19°C
36%
20°C
19%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from Argentine Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models points to a daytime maximum near 17–18°C on August 27 under a southeasterly flow behind a cold front.** This system, associated with the seasonal Santa Rosa pattern, brings increased cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms (40–70% probability), and moderate winds that limit surface heating. Typical late-August climatology for Buenos Aires shows highs of 15–17°C; the current setup features suppressed insolation from stratiform clouds and onshore maritime air, keeping the peak temperature range narrow. Model runs exhibit modest spread around these values, with slight upside risk if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Market-implied odds centered on 18–19°C reflect traders’ weighting of this forecast uncertainty and resolution criteria tied to official observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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