**Official observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional recorded a minimum of 10°C in Buenos Aires on August 26, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds that limited overnight cooling.** This aligns precisely with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for 10°C, reflecting traders’ confidence in real-time weather station data amid typical late-winter conditions—mild advection preventing deeper radiational cooling that could have pushed readings lower. Historical August minima often hover near 7–9°C, but the day’s pattern kept values elevated. The outcome could face revision only if post-analysis adjusts the official station reading or if the market specifies a non-standard site, though current consensus across sources strongly supports the recorded value.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 26. August?
10°C 100.0%
6°C 1.0%
8°C 1.0%
4°C oder weniger <1%
$1,354 Vol.
$1,354 Vol.
4°C oder weniger
Nein
5°C
Nein
6°C
Nein
7°C
Nein
8°C
Nein
9°C
Nein
10°C
Ja
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C oder höher
Nein
10°C 100.0%
6°C 1.0%
8°C 1.0%
4°C oder weniger <1%
$1,354 Vol.
$1,354 Vol.
4°C oder weniger
Nein
5°C
Nein
6°C
Nein
7°C
Nein
8°C
Nein
9°C
Nein
10°C
Ja
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
**Official observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional recorded a minimum of 10°C in Buenos Aires on August 26, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds that limited overnight cooling.** This aligns precisely with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for 10°C, reflecting traders’ confidence in real-time weather station data amid typical late-winter conditions—mild advection preventing deeper radiational cooling that could have pushed readings lower. Historical August minima often hover near 7–9°C, but the day’s pattern kept values elevated. The outcome could face revision only if post-analysis adjusts the official station reading or if the market specifies a non-standard site, though current consensus across sources strongly supports the recorded value.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen