Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen will likely see a high of 31–32°C on August 30 amid widespread cloud cover, moderate to heavy rain, and thunderstorms associated with lingering monsoon moisture. These conditions limit solar insolation and daytime heating, keeping peak temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms around 32°C. The tight split between the 32°C and 31°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on when heaviest rain arrives. Updated regional guidance from Chinese meteorological sources and global ensembles will refine this range ahead of resolution, with traders weighting the strong probability of rain as the dominant constraint.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 30. August?
32°C 33%
31°C 31%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
20%
31°C
31%
32°C
33%
33°C
12%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 33%
31°C 31%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
20%
31°C
31%
32°C
33%
33°C
12%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen will likely see a high of 31–32°C on August 30 amid widespread cloud cover, moderate to heavy rain, and thunderstorms associated with lingering monsoon moisture. These conditions limit solar insolation and daytime heating, keeping peak temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms around 32°C. The tight split between the 32°C and 31°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on when heaviest rain arrives. Updated regional guidance from Chinese meteorological sources and global ensembles will refine this range ahead of resolution, with traders weighting the strong probability of rain as the dominant constraint.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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