Current forecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a peak near 30°C in Milan on August 30 under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, supporting the tight market split between 29°C and 30°C. Late-summer radiative heating peaks midday with minimal cloud cover expected to limit afternoon suppression, while the Po Valley's typical subsidence and urban heat island effects add 1–2°C locally. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture or exact wind speeds create the narrow uncertainty band around these values, with 31°C possible only under slightly stronger insolation. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 30. August?
30°C 44%
29°C 36%
31°C 17%
32°C 9%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
36%
30°C
44%
31°C
17%
32°C
9%
33°C or higher
8%
30°C 44%
29°C 36%
31°C 17%
32°C 9%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
36%
30°C
44%
31°C
17%
32°C
9%
33°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a peak near 30°C in Milan on August 30 under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, supporting the tight market split between 29°C and 30°C. Late-summer radiative heating peaks midday with minimal cloud cover expected to limit afternoon suppression, while the Po Valley's typical subsidence and urban heat island effects add 1–2°C locally. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture or exact wind speeds create the narrow uncertainty band around these values, with 31°C possible only under slightly stronger insolation. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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