Recent heavy rainfall combined with cold air intrusion from the north has driven the sharp cooling in Chongqing, with official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory indicating maximum temperatures of 27–31°C on August 30 amid lingering cloud cover and light precipitation. Numerical weather models show broad agreement on this range due to suppressed daytime heating under overcast skies, though slight variations in steering patterns or rainfall timing could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. The market's elevated probability on 26°C or below reflects this consensus on post-frontal stabilization, while lower odds for 30°C+ account for residual uncertainty in local urban heat island effects and model spread near the resolution threshold. Updated model runs and agency briefings over the next 48 hours will further refine these dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 30. August?
26°C or below 31%
28°C 19%
27°C 18%
29°C 14%
26°C or below
31%
27°C
18%
28°C
19%
29°C
14%
30°C
10%
31°C
7%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
26°C or below 31%
28°C 19%
27°C 18%
29°C 14%
26°C or below
31%
27°C
18%
28°C
19%
29°C
14%
30°C
10%
31°C
7%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall combined with cold air intrusion from the north has driven the sharp cooling in Chongqing, with official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory indicating maximum temperatures of 27–31°C on August 30 amid lingering cloud cover and light precipitation. Numerical weather models show broad agreement on this range due to suppressed daytime heating under overcast skies, though slight variations in steering patterns or rainfall timing could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. The market's elevated probability on 26°C or below reflects this consensus on post-frontal stabilization, while lower odds for 30°C+ account for residual uncertainty in local urban heat island effects and model spread near the resolution threshold. Updated model runs and agency briefings over the next 48 hours will further refine these dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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