Forecast models from MetService and international guidance point to a maximum near 15°C for Wellington on August 28, with a mix of northerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting stronger warming or cooling. Late-winter climatology shows typical daily highs of 13–14°C, so the current setup reflects modest positive anomalies from transient northerlies drawing milder air across the region. Recent model runs remain consistent on this range, though small shifts in frontal timing or wind direction could push the peak to 14°C or 16°C. Traders assign the bulk of probability to 15°C because it aligns with the latest official guidance and historical variability for the date, with lower odds on outliers reflecting the narrow uncertainty band two days out.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 28. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 28. August?
15°C 64%
16°C 21%
14°C 10%
17°C 5%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
10%
15°C
64%
16°C
21%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 64%
16°C 21%
14°C 10%
17°C 5%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
10°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
11°C
$5 Vol.
1%
12°C
$7 Vol.
1%
13°C
$79 Vol.
2%
14°C
$181 Vol.
10%
15°C
$122 Vol.
64%
16°C
$21 Vol.
21%
17°C
$114 Vol.
5%
18°C
$85 Vol.
2%
19°C
$54 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$41 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and international guidance point to a maximum near 15°C for Wellington on August 28, with a mix of northerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting stronger warming or cooling. Late-winter climatology shows typical daily highs of 13–14°C, so the current setup reflects modest positive anomalies from transient northerlies drawing milder air across the region. Recent model runs remain consistent on this range, though small shifts in frontal timing or wind direction could push the peak to 14°C or 16°C. Traders assign the bulk of probability to 15°C because it aligns with the latest official guidance and historical variability for the date, with lower odds on outliers reflecting the narrow uncertainty band two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$713Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and international guidance point to a maximum near 15°C for Wellington on August 28, with a mix of northerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting stronger warming or cooling. Late-winter climatology shows typical daily highs of 13–14°C, so the current setup reflects modest positive anomalies from transient northerlies drawing milder air across the region. Recent model runs remain consistent on this range, though small shifts in frontal timing or wind direction could push the peak to 14°C or 16°C. Traders assign the bulk of probability to 15°C because it aligns with the latest official guidance and historical variability for the date, with lower odds on outliers reflecting the narrow uncertainty band two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$713Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from MetService and international guidance point to a maximum near 15°C for Wellington on August 28, with a mix of northerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting stronger warming or cooling. Late-winter climatology shows typical daily highs of 13–14°C, so the current setup reflects modest positive anomalies from transient northerlies drawing milder air across the region. Recent model runs remain consistent on this range, though small shifts in frontal timing or wind direction could push the peak to 14°C or 16°C. Traders assign the bulk of probability to 15°C because it aligns with the latest official guidance and historical variability for the date, with lower odds on outliers reflecting the narrow uncertainty band two days out.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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