Recent forecast model runs from New Zealand's MetService show Wellington's overnight minimum on August 28 hovering near 12–13 °C, with ensembles split between those values and driving the tight 48.5 %–43 % market split. A weak southerly flow and partial cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, while sea-surface temperatures around Cook Strait remain near seasonal normals, keeping the distribution narrow. Traders are watching the next high-resolution update for any shift in wind direction or timing of clearing skies that could push the minimum a degree lower or allow it to settle higher. Historical August minima average 8–10 °C, so current guidance reflects milder-than-normal conditions that still carry modest uncertainty two days out.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 28. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 28. August?
13°C 49%
12°C 48%
11°C 30%
14°C 30%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
7°C oder darunter
1%
8°C
3%
9°C
30%
10°C
29%
11°C
30%
12°C
48%
13°C
49%
14°C
30%
15°C
13%
16°C
6%
17°C oder höher
9%
13°C 49%
12°C 48%
11°C 30%
14°C 30%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
7°C oder darunter
$57 Vol.
1%
8°C
$63 Vol.
3%
9°C
$0 Vol.
30%
10°C
$0 Vol.
29%
11°C
$0 Vol.
30%
12°C
$0 Vol.
48%
13°C
$0 Vol.
49%
14°C
$81 Vol.
30%
15°C
$37 Vol.
13%
16°C
$37 Vol.
6%
17°C oder höher
$37 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from New Zealand's MetService show Wellington's overnight minimum on August 28 hovering near 12–13 °C, with ensembles split between those values and driving the tight 48.5 %–43 % market split. A weak southerly flow and partial cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, while sea-surface temperatures around Cook Strait remain near seasonal normals, keeping the distribution narrow. Traders are watching the next high-resolution update for any shift in wind direction or timing of clearing skies that could push the minimum a degree lower or allow it to settle higher. Historical August minima average 8–10 °C, so current guidance reflects milder-than-normal conditions that still carry modest uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$311Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from New Zealand's MetService show Wellington's overnight minimum on August 28 hovering near 12–13 °C, with ensembles split between those values and driving the tight 48.5 %–43 % market split. A weak southerly flow and partial cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, while sea-surface temperatures around Cook Strait remain near seasonal normals, keeping the distribution narrow. Traders are watching the next high-resolution update for any shift in wind direction or timing of clearing skies that could push the minimum a degree lower or allow it to settle higher. Historical August minima average 8–10 °C, so current guidance reflects milder-than-normal conditions that still carry modest uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$311Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from New Zealand's MetService show Wellington's overnight minimum on August 28 hovering near 12–13 °C, with ensembles split between those values and driving the tight 48.5 %–43 % market split. A weak southerly flow and partial cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, while sea-surface temperatures around Cook Strait remain near seasonal normals, keeping the distribution narrow. Traders are watching the next high-resolution update for any shift in wind direction or timing of clearing skies that could push the minimum a degree lower or allow it to settle higher. Historical August minima average 8–10 °C, so current guidance reflects milder-than-normal conditions that still carry modest uncertainty two days out.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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