Official MetService forecasts position a 14°C high as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 27, driven by a southerly flow shifting to northerlies amid mostly cloudy conditions and showers that ease through the morning. Persistent cloud cover and moderate winds are expected to suppress daytime warming, consistent with late-winter climatology where average August maxima range 13–15°C at Wellington Airport. Ensemble guidance and regional models show limited spread around this value, with 13°C and 15°C as secondary possibilities if winds or timing of clearing shift. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes near- or above-average temperatures for the broader period but defers to short-range data for daily resolution, keeping trader focus on the latest model runs and official updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 27. August?
14°C 54%
13°C 24%
15°C 16%
12°C 4%
$23,815 Vol.
$23,815 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
24%
14°C
54%
15°C
16%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 54%
13°C 24%
15°C 16%
12°C 4%
$23,815 Vol.
$23,815 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
24%
14°C
54%
15°C
16%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official MetService forecasts position a 14°C high as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 27, driven by a southerly flow shifting to northerlies amid mostly cloudy conditions and showers that ease through the morning. Persistent cloud cover and moderate winds are expected to suppress daytime warming, consistent with late-winter climatology where average August maxima range 13–15°C at Wellington Airport. Ensemble guidance and regional models show limited spread around this value, with 13°C and 15°C as secondary possibilities if winds or timing of clearing shift. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes near- or above-average temperatures for the broader period but defers to short-range data for daily resolution, keeping trader focus on the latest model runs and official updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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