Recent official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate a high of 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 30, driven by moderate southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation. This aligns with late-winter climatology for the region, where August averages near 18°C but current steering patterns favor slightly below-normal maxima. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 43% implied probability for 17°C and 21.5% for 16°C, closely tracks these model outputs, with lower odds on warmer outcomes like 19°C or above due to the absence of northerly flow or clear-sky warming. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours show little divergence, supporting tight clustering around these central values ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 30. August?
17°C 44%
18°C 30%
19°C 22%
16°C 22%
12°C oder darunter
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
7%
15°C
9%
16°C
22%
17°C
44%
18°C
26%
19°C
22%
20°C
8%
21°C
9%
22°C oder höher
3%
17°C 44%
18°C 30%
19°C 22%
16°C 22%
12°C oder darunter
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
7%
15°C
9%
16°C
22%
17°C
44%
18°C
26%
19°C
22%
20°C
8%
21°C
9%
22°C oder höher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate a high of 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 30, driven by moderate southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation. This aligns with late-winter climatology for the region, where August averages near 18°C but current steering patterns favor slightly below-normal maxima. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 43% implied probability for 17°C and 21.5% for 16°C, closely tracks these model outputs, with lower odds on warmer outcomes like 19°C or above due to the absence of northerly flow or clear-sky warming. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours show little divergence, supporting tight clustering around these central values ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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