Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 17–18°C for Buenos Aires on August 28 under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly to southeasterly flow, limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus favoring 19–20°C reflects uncertainty in model spread and the potential for brief clearing that could boost insolation and surface temperatures by 1–2°C above guidance. Key differentiating factors include cloud optical thickness reducing solar radiation, modest warm-air advection from the Atlantic, and the precise timing of any afternoon breaks in overcast conditions. With resolution hinging on official station maxima, the narrow spread between leading outcomes captures ongoing variability in boundary-layer mixing and shortwave forcing. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the daily peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 28. August?
19°C 39%
20°C 35%
18°C 12%
21°C 12%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
12%
19°C
39%
20°C
35%
21°C
12%
22°C
4%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 39%
20°C 35%
18°C 12%
21°C 12%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
12%
19°C
39%
20°C
35%
21°C
12%
22°C
4%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 17–18°C for Buenos Aires on August 28 under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly to southeasterly flow, limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus favoring 19–20°C reflects uncertainty in model spread and the potential for brief clearing that could boost insolation and surface temperatures by 1–2°C above guidance. Key differentiating factors include cloud optical thickness reducing solar radiation, modest warm-air advection from the Atlantic, and the precise timing of any afternoon breaks in overcast conditions. With resolution hinging on official station maxima, the narrow spread between leading outcomes captures ongoing variability in boundary-layer mixing and shortwave forcing. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the daily peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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