**Forecast consensus points to a modest high in the mid-20s °C for Paris on August 27, driven by an unstable airmass, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime heating.** Southwesterly flow and moderate winds will further suppress peak temperatures below seasonal norms, with models such as GFS indicating afternoon maxima near 26 °C amid 50-60% rain probabilities. This setup creates tight uncertainty across the 26–28 °C range reflected in closely matched market-implied odds, as small shifts in cloud timing or convective intensity could alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical late-August averages hover around 24 °C, providing context for the current cooler trajectory. Fresh model runs and official Météo-France briefings will be the next key data points for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 27. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Paris am 27. August?
27°C 34%
28°C 24%
26°C 23%
25°C 10%
NEU
NEU
27. Aug. 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
23%
27°C
34%
28°C
24%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 34%
28°C 24%
26°C 23%
25°C 10%
NEU
NEU
27. Aug. 2026
20°C or below
$455 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$124 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$40 Vol.
1%
24°C
$957 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,996 Vol.
10%
26°C
$1,018 Vol.
23%
27°C
$724 Vol.
34%
28°C
$1,493 Vol.
24%
29°C
$799 Vol.
8%
30°C or higher
$373 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a modest high in the mid-20s °C for Paris on August 27, driven by an unstable airmass, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime heating.** Southwesterly flow and moderate winds will further suppress peak temperatures below seasonal norms, with models such as GFS indicating afternoon maxima near 26 °C amid 50-60% rain probabilities. This setup creates tight uncertainty across the 26–28 °C range reflected in closely matched market-implied odds, as small shifts in cloud timing or convective intensity could alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical late-August averages hover around 24 °C, providing context for the current cooler trajectory. Fresh model runs and official Météo-France briefings will be the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$7,981Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a modest high in the mid-20s °C for Paris on August 27, driven by an unstable airmass, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime heating.** Southwesterly flow and moderate winds will further suppress peak temperatures below seasonal norms, with models such as GFS indicating afternoon maxima near 26 °C amid 50-60% rain probabilities. This setup creates tight uncertainty across the 26–28 °C range reflected in closely matched market-implied odds, as small shifts in cloud timing or convective intensity could alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical late-August averages hover around 24 °C, providing context for the current cooler trajectory. Fresh model runs and official Météo-France briefings will be the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,981Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to a modest high in the mid-20s °C for Paris on August 27, driven by an unstable airmass, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime heating.** Southwesterly flow and moderate winds will further suppress peak temperatures below seasonal norms, with models such as GFS indicating afternoon maxima near 26 °C amid 50-60% rain probabilities. This setup creates tight uncertainty across the 26–28 °C range reflected in closely matched market-implied odds, as small shifts in cloud timing or convective intensity could alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical late-August averages hover around 24 °C, providing context for the current cooler trajectory. Fresh model runs and official Météo-France briefings will be the next key data points for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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