Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models indicate a maximum temperature in Moscow on August 29 of 19–21°C under variable cloudiness, light southeast winds of 3–8 m/s, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs hover near 19°C, and supports the market's heavy weighting toward 20°C (53%) and 21°C (32%). Stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity have kept conditions consistent over the past several days, with model runs showing little spread in daytime peaks. Updated guidance expected from official agencies tomorrow morning will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 29. August?
20°C 53%
21°C 32%
19°C 10%
22°C 5%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
10%
20°C
53%
21°C
32%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 53%
21°C 32%
19°C 10%
22°C 5%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
10%
20°C
53%
21°C
32%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models indicate a maximum temperature in Moscow on August 29 of 19–21°C under variable cloudiness, light southeast winds of 3–8 m/s, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs hover near 19°C, and supports the market's heavy weighting toward 20°C (53%) and 21°C (32%). Stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity have kept conditions consistent over the past several days, with model runs showing little spread in daytime peaks. Updated guidance expected from official agencies tomorrow morning will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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