National Weather Service forecasts and multiple models indicate the overnight low in Dallas on August 29 will reach only around 80°F amid persistent south-southeast winds of 5–10 mph, clear skies, and a strong heat dome that limited daytime cooling after highs near 102°F. This setup produces minimal radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures well above the long-term August 29 average low of 75°F. The market’s 95.5% implied probability on 80–81°F reflects trader alignment with official guidance from the Dallas-Fort Worth NWS office, which has consistently projected this narrow range. A modest shift in wind direction or unexpected increase in low-level moisture could allow slightly more cooling toward the upper 70s, though current atmospheric conditions make substantial deviation unlikely before midnight measurements are finalized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Dallas am 29. August?
80-81°F 96%
72-73°F 8%
78-79°F 5%
74-75°F 1%
$1,867 Vol.
$1,867 Vol.
71°F oder weniger
<1%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
96%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F oder höher
<1%
80-81°F 96%
72-73°F 8%
78-79°F 5%
74-75°F 1%
$1,867 Vol.
$1,867 Vol.
71°F oder weniger
<1%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
96%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and multiple models indicate the overnight low in Dallas on August 29 will reach only around 80°F amid persistent south-southeast winds of 5–10 mph, clear skies, and a strong heat dome that limited daytime cooling after highs near 102°F. This setup produces minimal radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures well above the long-term August 29 average low of 75°F. The market’s 95.5% implied probability on 80–81°F reflects trader alignment with official guidance from the Dallas-Fort Worth NWS office, which has consistently projected this narrow range. A modest shift in wind direction or unexpected increase in low-level moisture could allow slightly more cooling toward the upper 70s, though current atmospheric conditions make substantial deviation unlikely before midnight measurements are finalized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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