Traders assessing rain locations on August 30 are focused on short-range numerical weather prediction models from NOAA’s National Weather Service and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which show high confidence in convective patterns driven by late-summer instability and moisture transport. Diurnal heating, frontal boundaries, and any residual tropical moisture will determine localized precipitation probabilities, with verification tied to official rain gauge or radar thresholds at specific sites. Updated model runs and satellite observations expected throughout August 29–30 could shift consensus on exact areas of measurable rainfall before resolution. Historical climatology indicates scattered afternoon storms are common in many U.S. regions during this period, though steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions introduce uncertainty in precise placement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWo wird es am 30. August regnen?
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
14%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
50%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
$1 Vol.
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
14%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
50%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Abwickler
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Abwickler
0x65070BE91...Traders assessing rain locations on August 30 are focused on short-range numerical weather prediction models from NOAA’s National Weather Service and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which show high confidence in convective patterns driven by late-summer instability and moisture transport. Diurnal heating, frontal boundaries, and any residual tropical moisture will determine localized precipitation probabilities, with verification tied to official rain gauge or radar thresholds at specific sites. Updated model runs and satellite observations expected throughout August 29–30 could shift consensus on exact areas of measurable rainfall before resolution. Historical climatology indicates scattered afternoon storms are common in many U.S. regions during this period, though steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions introduce uncertainty in precise placement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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