Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall on August 29, which will limit solar insolation and suppress peak daytime temperatures. Official model consensus from sources like WeatherBug and LUFT TIME points to a high near 28°C (82–84°F), consistent with the late-August monsoon pattern where precipitation frequently caps highs below seasonal averages of 30–32°C. This atmospheric setup, featuring high humidity and weak steering winds, creates narrow differentiation among 27–29°C outcomes, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around these levels while reducing probabilities for 30°C or higher. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key variable for any shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 29. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 29. August?
28°C 21%
29°C 20%
27°C 18%
30°C 15%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
18%
28°C
21%
29°C
20%
30°C
15%
31°C
9%
32°C
6%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
28°C 21%
29°C 20%
27°C 18%
30°C 15%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$100 Vol.
2%
26°C
$50 Vol.
11%
27°C
$0 Vol.
18%
28°C
$17 Vol.
21%
29°C
$58 Vol.
20%
30°C
$136 Vol.
15%
31°C
$0 Vol.
9%
32°C
$7 Vol.
6%
33°C
$429 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$310 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall on August 29, which will limit solar insolation and suppress peak daytime temperatures. Official model consensus from sources like WeatherBug and LUFT TIME points to a high near 28°C (82–84°F), consistent with the late-August monsoon pattern where precipitation frequently caps highs below seasonal averages of 30–32°C. This atmospheric setup, featuring high humidity and weak steering winds, creates narrow differentiation among 27–29°C outcomes, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around these levels while reducing probabilities for 30°C or higher. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key variable for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$1,107Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall on August 29, which will limit solar insolation and suppress peak daytime temperatures. Official model consensus from sources like WeatherBug and LUFT TIME points to a high near 28°C (82–84°F), consistent with the late-August monsoon pattern where precipitation frequently caps highs below seasonal averages of 30–32°C. This atmospheric setup, featuring high humidity and weak steering winds, creates narrow differentiation among 27–29°C outcomes, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around these levels while reducing probabilities for 30°C or higher. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key variable for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,107Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall on August 29, which will limit solar insolation and suppress peak daytime temperatures. Official model consensus from sources like WeatherBug and LUFT TIME points to a high near 28°C (82–84°F), consistent with the late-August monsoon pattern where precipitation frequently caps highs below seasonal averages of 30–32°C. This atmospheric setup, featuring high humidity and weak steering winds, creates narrow differentiation among 27–29°C outcomes, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around these levels while reducing probabilities for 30°C or higher. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key variable for any shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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