Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a modest peak temperature in Warsaw on August 29 due to an approaching low-pressure system and associated cloud cover with light showers, which will reduce incoming solar radiation and limit surface heating. Daytime highs are projected near 22–24 °C under southwesterly flow, with morning precipitation and increasing mid-level clouds suppressing the diurnal temperature range compared to the clearer, warmer conditions on August 28. These factors create tight clustering around the 22–23 °C outcomes in trader pricing, as small shifts in cloud timing or rainfall intensity can alter the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 21 °C provide additional context for the modest outlook.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 29. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 29. August?
22°C 31%
23°C 30%
24°C 12%
21°C 11%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
11%
22°C
31%
23°C
30%
24°C
12%
25°C or higher
3%
22°C 31%
23°C 30%
24°C 12%
21°C 11%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
15°C or below
$234 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$184 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$330 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$376 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,238 Vol.
2%
20°C
$1,357 Vol.
5%
21°C
$2,104 Vol.
11%
22°C
$1,214 Vol.
31%
23°C
$1,534 Vol.
30%
24°C
$377 Vol.
12%
25°C or higher
$210 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a modest peak temperature in Warsaw on August 29 due to an approaching low-pressure system and associated cloud cover with light showers, which will reduce incoming solar radiation and limit surface heating. Daytime highs are projected near 22–24 °C under southwesterly flow, with morning precipitation and increasing mid-level clouds suppressing the diurnal temperature range compared to the clearer, warmer conditions on August 28. These factors create tight clustering around the 22–23 °C outcomes in trader pricing, as small shifts in cloud timing or rainfall intensity can alter the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 21 °C provide additional context for the modest outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$9,158Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a modest peak temperature in Warsaw on August 29 due to an approaching low-pressure system and associated cloud cover with light showers, which will reduce incoming solar radiation and limit surface heating. Daytime highs are projected near 22–24 °C under southwesterly flow, with morning precipitation and increasing mid-level clouds suppressing the diurnal temperature range compared to the clearer, warmer conditions on August 28. These factors create tight clustering around the 22–23 °C outcomes in trader pricing, as small shifts in cloud timing or rainfall intensity can alter the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 21 °C provide additional context for the modest outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,158Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a modest peak temperature in Warsaw on August 29 due to an approaching low-pressure system and associated cloud cover with light showers, which will reduce incoming solar radiation and limit surface heating. Daytime highs are projected near 22–24 °C under southwesterly flow, with morning precipitation and increasing mid-level clouds suppressing the diurnal temperature range compared to the clearer, warmer conditions on August 28. These factors create tight clustering around the 22–23 °C outcomes in trader pricing, as small shifts in cloud timing or rainfall intensity can alter the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 21 °C provide additional context for the modest outlook.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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