Current forecasts from multiple models for Shanghai on August 27 indicate a daytime high near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and a modest chance of showers, supporting the market's tight clustering around 31–32°C as the most likely outcomes. High regional humidity and potential for increased cloud cover or brief precipitation could limit peak solar heating and cap temperatures below 33°C, while typical late-August subtropical conditions and urban heat retention make 31°C a credible alternative if winds strengthen or rain arrives earlier. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing, key variables that often shift afternoon maxima by 1–2°C in this season.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 27. August?
32°C 50%
31°C 34%
33°C 10%
30°C 6%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
34%
32°C
50%
33°C
10%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
31°C 34%
33°C 10%
30°C 6%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
34%
32°C
50%
33°C
10%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models for Shanghai on August 27 indicate a daytime high near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and a modest chance of showers, supporting the market's tight clustering around 31–32°C as the most likely outcomes. High regional humidity and potential for increased cloud cover or brief precipitation could limit peak solar heating and cap temperatures below 33°C, while typical late-August subtropical conditions and urban heat retention make 31°C a credible alternative if winds strengthen or rain arrives earlier. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing, key variables that often shift afternoon maxima by 1–2°C in this season.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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