Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major global ensembles points to a highest temperature in Toronto on August 25 likely falling in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid late-summer conditions featuring a mix of sun and cloud plus scattered showers. The near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects small but decisive uncertainties in daytime heating: modest variations in cloud thickness, the exact timing of any shower activity, and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or allow an extra degree of warming. Historical late-August normals near 24–25°C provide baseline context, while the narrow probability spread on higher or lower outcomes underscores limited upside from stronger ridging or downside from more organized convection. Updated short-range runs and observational data over the next 12–18 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 25. August?
24°C 40%
25°C 38%
26°C 13%
23°C 10%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
40%
25°C
38%
26°C
13%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 40%
25°C 38%
26°C 13%
23°C 10%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
40%
25°C
38%
26°C
13%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major global ensembles points to a highest temperature in Toronto on August 25 likely falling in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid late-summer conditions featuring a mix of sun and cloud plus scattered showers. The near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects small but decisive uncertainties in daytime heating: modest variations in cloud thickness, the exact timing of any shower activity, and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or allow an extra degree of warming. Historical late-August normals near 24–25°C provide baseline context, while the narrow probability spread on higher or lower outcomes underscores limited upside from stronger ridging or downside from more organized convection. Updated short-range runs and observational data over the next 12–18 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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