Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private services converge on a high in the low 80s for New York City on August 27, with Central Park and airport sites projecting 81–82 °F under partly sunny skies and a 70–80 % chance of afternoon thunderstorms. South-to-southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 25 mph will promote mixing while the storms introduce cooler downdrafts and cloud cover that limit peak heating. This aligns with the climatological normal of 81.8 °F and explains why the 80–81 °F bucket holds the highest market-implied probability, followed by 82–83 °F. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational inputs before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 27. August?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 27. August?
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 12%
NEU
NEU
27. Aug. 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
4%
88°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 12%
NEU
NEU
27. Aug. 2026
69°F or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$22 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$86 Vol.
14%
80-81°F
$52 Vol.
45%
82-83°F
$47 Vol.
29%
84-85°F
$229 Vol.
12%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
4%
88°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private services converge on a high in the low 80s for New York City on August 27, with Central Park and airport sites projecting 81–82 °F under partly sunny skies and a 70–80 % chance of afternoon thunderstorms. South-to-southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 25 mph will promote mixing while the storms introduce cooler downdrafts and cloud cover that limit peak heating. This aligns with the climatological normal of 81.8 °F and explains why the 80–81 °F bucket holds the highest market-implied probability, followed by 82–83 °F. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$437Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private services converge on a high in the low 80s for New York City on August 27, with Central Park and airport sites projecting 81–82 °F under partly sunny skies and a 70–80 % chance of afternoon thunderstorms. South-to-southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 25 mph will promote mixing while the storms introduce cooler downdrafts and cloud cover that limit peak heating. This aligns with the climatological normal of 81.8 °F and explains why the 80–81 °F bucket holds the highest market-implied probability, followed by 82–83 °F. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$437Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private services converge on a high in the low 80s for New York City on August 27, with Central Park and airport sites projecting 81–82 °F under partly sunny skies and a 70–80 % chance of afternoon thunderstorms. South-to-southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 25 mph will promote mixing while the storms introduce cooler downdrafts and cloud cover that limit peak heating. This aligns with the climatological normal of 81.8 °F and explains why the 80–81 °F bucket holds the highest market-implied probability, followed by 82–83 °F. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational inputs before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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