Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate overnight lows in Mexico City around 11–14°C for August 27, consistent with the city's high-elevation subtropical highland climate (approximately 2,240 m) and ongoing rainy season cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent cooler conditions, including minima near 8–12°C in some alcaldías earlier in the week, have elevated trader focus on the 9°C-or-below outcome at 41% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty in localized measurements or model runs. Historical August averages hover near 13–14°C at official stations, with the clustered 25–26% odds around 10–16°C underscoring the narrow expected range amid typical diurnal swings and light winds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 27. August?
9°C or below 41%
12°C 27%
13°C 26%
14°C 26%
9°C or below
41%
10°C
25%
11°C
25%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C
20%
18°C
16%
19°C oder höher
5%
9°C or below 41%
12°C 27%
13°C 26%
14°C 26%
9°C or below
41%
10°C
25%
11°C
25%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C
20%
18°C
16%
19°C oder höher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate overnight lows in Mexico City around 11–14°C for August 27, consistent with the city's high-elevation subtropical highland climate (approximately 2,240 m) and ongoing rainy season cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent cooler conditions, including minima near 8–12°C in some alcaldías earlier in the week, have elevated trader focus on the 9°C-or-below outcome at 41% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty in localized measurements or model runs. Historical August averages hover near 13–14°C at official stations, with the clustered 25–26% odds around 10–16°C underscoring the narrow expected range amid typical diurnal swings and light winds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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