Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Munich’s August 27 maximum near 29–31 °C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, with easterly flow and minimal cloud cover supporting strong diurnal heating. Light winds and low humidity (near 50 % afternoon) favor peak temperatures in this narrow band, while scattered high clouds in some solutions cap further warming. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, with 30 °C and 31 °C leading as traders weigh small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing. Updated ECMWF and ICON runs expected within 24 hours remain the key near-term catalyst before official DWD observations finalize the daily high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 27. August?
30°C 32%
31°C 25%
29°C 14%
32°C 11%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
14%
30°C
32%
31°C
25%
32°C
11%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 32%
31°C 25%
29°C 14%
32°C 11%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
14%
30°C
32%
31°C
25%
32°C
11%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Munich’s August 27 maximum near 29–31 °C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, with easterly flow and minimal cloud cover supporting strong diurnal heating. Light winds and low humidity (near 50 % afternoon) favor peak temperatures in this narrow band, while scattered high clouds in some solutions cap further warming. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, with 30 °C and 31 °C leading as traders weigh small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing. Updated ECMWF and ICON runs expected within 24 hours remain the key near-term catalyst before official DWD observations finalize the daily high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen