**Forecast models and real-time observations point to a minimum temperature near 14°C for Munich on August 27, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly data and daily minima from regional forecasts, consistently show overnight and early-morning readings bottoming out around 14–17°C before daytime highs climb to 29–32°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where clear or partly clear conditions allow moderate radiational cooling overnight without extreme drops. The overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 14°C reflects this strong consensus across numerical weather prediction outputs. Only a substantial, unforeseen deviation—such as rapid clear-sky cooling pushing readings below 13°C or localized station-specific variations—could realistically alter the outcome before midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in München am 27. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in München am 27. August?
14°C 99.4%
11°C 2%
12°C 2%
13°C 2%
NEU
NEU
27. Aug. 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.4%
11°C 2%
12°C 2%
13°C 2%
NEU
NEU
27. Aug. 2026
10°C or below
$72 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$717 Vol.
2%
12°C
$86 Vol.
2%
13°C
$100 Vol.
2%
14°C
$188 Vol.
99%
15°C
$278 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$438 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$64 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations point to a minimum temperature near 14°C for Munich on August 27, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly data and daily minima from regional forecasts, consistently show overnight and early-morning readings bottoming out around 14–17°C before daytime highs climb to 29–32°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where clear or partly clear conditions allow moderate radiational cooling overnight without extreme drops.
The overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 14°C reflects this strong consensus across numerical weather prediction outputs. Only a substantial, unforeseen deviation—such as rapid clear-sky cooling pushing readings below 13°C or localized station-specific variations—could realistically alter the outcome before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$2,101Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations point to a minimum temperature near 14°C for Munich on August 27, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly data and daily minima from regional forecasts, consistently show overnight and early-morning readings bottoming out around 14–17°C before daytime highs climb to 29–32°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where clear or partly clear conditions allow moderate radiational cooling overnight without extreme drops.
The overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 14°C reflects this strong consensus across numerical weather prediction outputs. Only a substantial, unforeseen deviation—such as rapid clear-sky cooling pushing readings below 13°C or localized station-specific variations—could realistically alter the outcome before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,101Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and real-time observations point to a minimum temperature near 14°C for Munich on August 27, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly data and daily minima from regional forecasts, consistently show overnight and early-morning readings bottoming out around 14–17°C before daytime highs climb to 29–32°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where clear or partly clear conditions allow moderate radiational cooling overnight without extreme drops. The overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 14°C reflects this strong consensus across numerical weather prediction outputs. Only a substantial, unforeseen deviation—such as rapid clear-sky cooling pushing readings below 13°C or localized station-specific variations—could realistically alter the outcome before midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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