Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, ICON, and DWD show a warm airmass over southern Germany with an approaching low-pressure system and associated fronts expected to trigger scattered thunderstorms on August 28. These conditions limit overnight radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 15–17°C at Munich stations. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in convective timing and cloud cover, which can suppress or enhance nocturnal drops by 1–2°C. Historical August lows average near 13°C, but the current pattern favors values several degrees above that baseline. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and local observations heavily, given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in München am 28. August?
20°C 87%
19°C 86%
13°C 85%
14°C 85%
12°C oder niedriger
9%
13°C
85%
14°C
85%
15°C
46%
16°C
47%
17°C
48%
18°C
44%
19°C
86%
20°C
87%
21°C
53%
22°C oder höher
48%
20°C 87%
19°C 86%
13°C 85%
14°C 85%
12°C oder niedriger
9%
13°C
85%
14°C
85%
15°C
46%
16°C
47%
17°C
48%
18°C
44%
19°C
86%
20°C
87%
21°C
53%
22°C oder höher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, ICON, and DWD show a warm airmass over southern Germany with an approaching low-pressure system and associated fronts expected to trigger scattered thunderstorms on August 28. These conditions limit overnight radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 15–17°C at Munich stations. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in convective timing and cloud cover, which can suppress or enhance nocturnal drops by 1–2°C. Historical August lows average near 13°C, but the current pattern favors values several degrees above that baseline. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and local observations heavily, given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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