Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a shift to unsettled conditions over London on August 27, with increasing cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms moderating daytime heating. This setup favors maximum temperatures clustering around 24–26 °C, as reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit peaks compared to clearer recent days. Model spread centers on the exact timing and intensity of rain bands, which can suppress readings by 1–2 °C through enhanced cloudiness or allow brief warmer spells under breaks. Southwest winds advect milder maritime air while frontal boundaries introduce variability, aligning with the tight market-implied probabilities near 24–25 °C. Updated runs and observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 27. August?
24°C 33%
25°C 33%
26°C 15%
23°C 12%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
33%
25°C
33%
26°C
15%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 33%
25°C 33%
26°C 15%
23°C 12%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
33%
25°C
33%
26°C
15%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a shift to unsettled conditions over London on August 27, with increasing cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms moderating daytime heating. This setup favors maximum temperatures clustering around 24–26 °C, as reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit peaks compared to clearer recent days. Model spread centers on the exact timing and intensity of rain bands, which can suppress readings by 1–2 °C through enhanced cloudiness or allow brief warmer spells under breaks. Southwest winds advect milder maritime air while frontal boundaries introduce variability, aligning with the tight market-implied probabilities near 24–25 °C. Updated runs and observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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