Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a minimum of 17–18°C overnight into August 27 for London, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer scenarios that could allow temperatures to dip toward 17°C or below. Trader consensus clustering near 18–19°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and local urban heat retention, with higher-resolution runs showing modest model spread around dawn minima. Historical August lows near 15°C underscore how the current unsettled pattern elevates the floor relative to climatology, keeping lower outcomes thinly traded ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 27. August?
19°C 41%
18°C 40%
17°C 13%
20°C 10%
13°C oder niedriger
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
13%
18°C
40%
19°C
41%
20°C
10%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C oder höher
<1%
19°C 41%
18°C 40%
17°C 13%
20°C 10%
13°C oder niedriger
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
13%
18°C
40%
19°C
41%
20°C
10%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a minimum of 17–18°C overnight into August 27 for London, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer scenarios that could allow temperatures to dip toward 17°C or below. Trader consensus clustering near 18–19°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and local urban heat retention, with higher-resolution runs showing modest model spread around dawn minima. Historical August lows near 15°C underscore how the current unsettled pattern elevates the floor relative to climatology, keeping lower outcomes thinly traded ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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