Current forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and major models points to persistent upper-level troughing and a strong marine layer keeping San Francisco highs in the upper 50s to mid-60s on August 31, several degrees below the late-August climatological average of roughly 70 °F. This setup favors the clustered mid-60s outcomes now carrying the bulk of trader attention, while the elevated 76 °F+ probability reflects residual model spread and the possibility of brief warming if the trough weakens faster than expected. Onshore flow and cloud cover are expected to limit diurnal heating, consistent with recent cool anomalies observed through the weekend. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 31. August?
Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 31. August?
64-65°F 25%
66-67°F 23%
20-21°C 23%
70-71°F 20%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
57°F oder niedriger
1%
58-59°F
15%
60-61°F
18%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
23%
20-21°C
23%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
16%
76°F oder höher
17%
64-65°F 25%
66-67°F 23%
20-21°C 23%
70-71°F 20%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
57°F oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
15%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
18%
62-63°F
$6 Vol.
13%
64-65°F
$13 Vol.
25%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
23%
20-21°C
$0 Vol.
23%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
20%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
20%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
16%
76°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and major models points to persistent upper-level troughing and a strong marine layer keeping San Francisco highs in the upper 50s to mid-60s on August 31, several degrees below the late-August climatological average of roughly 70 °F. This setup favors the clustered mid-60s outcomes now carrying the bulk of trader attention, while the elevated 76 °F+ probability reflects residual model spread and the possibility of brief warming if the trough weakens faster than expected. Onshore flow and cloud cover are expected to limit diurnal heating, consistent with recent cool anomalies observed through the weekend. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volumen
$13Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 7:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and major models points to persistent upper-level troughing and a strong marine layer keeping San Francisco highs in the upper 50s to mid-60s on August 31, several degrees below the late-August climatological average of roughly 70 °F. This setup favors the clustered mid-60s outcomes now carrying the bulk of trader attention, while the elevated 76 °F+ probability reflects residual model spread and the possibility of brief warming if the trough weakens faster than expected. Onshore flow and cloud cover are expected to limit diurnal heating, consistent with recent cool anomalies observed through the weekend. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 7:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and major models points to persistent upper-level troughing and a strong marine layer keeping San Francisco highs in the upper 50s to mid-60s on August 31, several degrees below the late-August climatological average of roughly 70 °F. This setup favors the clustered mid-60s outcomes now carrying the bulk of trader attention, while the elevated 76 °F+ probability reflects residual model spread and the possibility of brief warming if the trough weakens faster than expected. Onshore flow and cloud cover are expected to limit diurnal heating, consistent with recent cool anomalies observed through the weekend. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen