**Market-implied odds center on 66–69°F because official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models project a high near 66–68°F for San Francisco on August 29, 2026.** Persistent northwest winds of 10–20 mph and a moderate marine layer will limit daytime heating along the coast, keeping temperatures close to the long-term average high of ~70°F while preventing any significant inland warming. Recent model runs show only minor differences in cloud timing and wind strength that separate the closely bunched 64–65°F, 66–67°F, and 68–69°F bins. With no heatwave or anomalous offshore flow expected, traders have placed the bulk of probability on this narrow, climatologically typical range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 29. August?
Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 29. August?
20-21°C 36%
66-67°F 28%
64-65°F 15%
70-71°F 11%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
57°F oder niedriger
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
15%
66-67°F
28%
20-21°C
36%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F oder höher
1%
20-21°C 36%
66-67°F 28%
64-65°F 15%
70-71°F 11%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
57°F oder niedriger
$188 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$168 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$129 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$965 Vol.
7%
64-65°F
$1,592 Vol.
15%
66-67°F
$1,419 Vol.
28%
20-21°C
$2,260 Vol.
36%
70-71°F
$1,691 Vol.
11%
72-73°F
$532 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$205 Vol.
<1%
76°F oder höher
$248 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds center on 66–69°F because official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models project a high near 66–68°F for San Francisco on August 29, 2026.**
Persistent northwest winds of 10–20 mph and a moderate marine layer will limit daytime heating along the coast, keeping temperatures close to the long-term average high of ~70°F while preventing any significant inland warming. Recent model runs show only minor differences in cloud timing and wind strength that separate the closely bunched 64–65°F, 66–67°F, and 68–69°F bins. With no heatwave or anomalous offshore flow expected, traders have placed the bulk of probability on this narrow, climatologically typical range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volumen
$9,397Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds center on 66–69°F because official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models project a high near 66–68°F for San Francisco on August 29, 2026.**
Persistent northwest winds of 10–20 mph and a moderate marine layer will limit daytime heating along the coast, keeping temperatures close to the long-term average high of ~70°F while preventing any significant inland warming. Recent model runs show only minor differences in cloud timing and wind strength that separate the closely bunched 64–65°F, 66–67°F, and 68–69°F bins. With no heatwave or anomalous offshore flow expected, traders have placed the bulk of probability on this narrow, climatologically typical range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,397Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds center on 66–69°F because official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models project a high near 66–68°F for San Francisco on August 29, 2026.** Persistent northwest winds of 10–20 mph and a moderate marine layer will limit daytime heating along the coast, keeping temperatures close to the long-term average high of ~70°F while preventing any significant inland warming. Recent model runs show only minor differences in cloud timing and wind strength that separate the closely bunched 64–65°F, 66–67°F, and 68–69°F bins. With no heatwave or anomalous offshore flow expected, traders have placed the bulk of probability on this narrow, climatologically typical range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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